Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 46.066426 53.103721 60.409836 68.526459 77.257441 86.335257 96.455683
2025-04-20 37.288631 47.445227 58.565910 71.500859 85.995145 101.611372 119.586508
2025-04-27 31.662955 43.489935 56.965721 73.156688 91.804299 112.360660 136.495193
2025-05-04 26.324563 39.018644 54.049988 72.657713 94.616271 119.302680 148.769302
2025-05-11 21.967461 35.125202 51.296246 71.875214 96.692387 125.071780 159.424388
2025-05-18 19.019134 32.625389 49.917988 72.455895 100.133988 132.229062 171.518720
2025-05-25 16.130608 29.846608 47.901836 72.006121 102.138963 137.549836 181.359993
2025-06-01 13.961421 27.794068 46.613611 72.290057 104.894427 143.653199 192.038647
2025-06-08 11.697182 25.321203 44.548923 71.398554 106.052681 147.735424 200.244883
2025-06-15 10.408857 24.163249 44.160014 72.594754 109.753743 154.845440 212.032093
2025-06-22 9.309648 23.166527 43.899897 73.888222 113.528005 162.016546 223.883178
2025-06-29 7.790351 21.269345 42.201737 73.128866 114.585097 165.786969 231.587125
2025-07-06 6.153723 18.928373 39.699754 71.170997 114.041809 167.572474 236.921435
2025-07-13 5.782630 18.875812 40.641593 74.007760 119.794914 177.248698 251.947532
2025-07-20 5.218343 18.362813 40.818139 75.729176 124.055145 185.045649 264.675490
2025-07-27 4.296227 16.960705 39.485391 75.215069 125.281436 188.975692 272.615469
2025-08-03 3.454291 15.546821 38.017497 74.417020 126.061358 192.294229 279.768254
2025-08-10 2.935705 14.761118 37.526577 75.009676 128.698527 197.971934 289.854472
2025-08-17 2.344390 13.640841 36.374763 74.550562 129.850308 201.710748 297.500896
2025-08-24 1.926026 12.858379 35.747984 74.840405 132.006770 206.733160 306.754534
2025-08-31 1.446801 11.720315 34.384770 73.930316 132.443338 209.486856 313.128119
2025-09-07 1.232069 11.347660 34.403129 75.151433 135.863813 216.142523 324.450480
2025-09-14 1.050884 11.027292 34.493389 76.471658 139.420559 222.982030 336.020077